Friday, 27 January 2012

Run bad, break even. Story of my life

As title really. Keep on having insaneo run bad session and then just break even by the end of it. Not too much to say other than I had a 3 BI loss in my first session followed by a 3.5 BI win in 2nd session y/day. Cleared 2 more bonus chunks too. So I'm about break even on Titan despite clearing $40 worth of bonuses and playing over 10k hands in a week.

Some really interesting hands popped up. Especially this one.

So preflop I have A10 and am looking to play a flop vs the 2 huge whales at the table, even though I am oop vs their ranges A10 is a monster so I don't mind.

So BB is 61/28/27.3 over 36 hands and MP3 is 90/0/0 over 39 hands.

It's all standard until the river. Where I am just so unsure. Of course I am never folding with trips getting 5.5:1 but I am just wondering if I should 3 bet for value vs his range. I was a little worried by the overcall by MP3 and that stayed by hand. HU vs the BB river is a 3bet or still a flat?

Thoughts and comments please.


MP2: $13.53 (135.3 bb)
MP3: $14.10 (141 bb)
CO: $3 (30 bb)
BTN: $2.70 (27 bb)
Hero (SB): $9.90 (99 bb)
BB: $26.34 (263.4 bb)
MP1: $3 (30 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T A
2 folds, MP3 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero completes, BB checks

Flop: ($0.30) A 6 Q (3 players)
Hero bets $0.15, BB calls $0.15, MP3 calls $0.15

Turn: ($0.75) 8 (3 players)
Hero bets $0.37, BB calls $0.37, MP3 calls $0.37

River: ($1.86) A (3 players)
Hero bets $0.93, BB raises to $2.32, MP3 calls $2.32, Hero calls $1.39
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1 comment:

  1. Anonymous27 January 2012 at 11:01

    Its all fine until the river (as you say). When he mins I shove 100% against this villain:

    MP3 we can discount as he jst flatted so he has like never got you beat here- Jamming is therefore pure value against his range.

    Because BB has a PFR of 28 he is raising all aces above yours (we can pretty much rule out 100% your kicker being a prob- because of this).

    Villains (BB) value range: spazz (unlikely), Ax combos, 66, random Q combos- obv Q combos with clubs got there.

    I think we can rule out 66 here alot- by him not raising the turn- a guy this active I would expect him to raise the turn alot (esp cause of flush draw/ to build a pot to leverage stacks on river).
    - By the same logic A6 and A8 are unlikely due to his turn play (obv expect him the raise the turn).

    This leaves him with aces (all of which you beat) and Qx combos as his likely holdings.

    The river is kinda gd for u- this kinda fish can call with something like Q-10. I think he finds it hard to ever fold an ace here.

    Basically by not jamming you are afraid of the Qx of clubs (only hand in his range u cant really beat).

    Obv this is not a gd enough reason not to jam and by doing so I think u have lost value here.

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