Saturday, 16 June 2012

AKo Misplayed?.....i think so

Here is a HH from a session I played last week.


AKo in CO

Interesting spot with AKo

I have 300 hands on villain who is a 10/8 so he is fairly nitty pre he is in early mid position
and typically have a 14% open from there. It is worth noting that he rarely raises from the blinds
(sub 2%) and because of this his PFR may be skewed slightly. His flop cbet is 60% and turn barrel is 50%
so his double barrels are typically strong.

On AhThAs he cbets slightly over 1/2 pot, this is fairly standard on this type of board, and I believe he
makes this cbet with all of his KQ/KJ/QJhh as well as with any Ax TT-KK, I am crushing the majority of this range,
If I had the Kh I would be blocking his Str8/FD combos, with the Kh I will almost never raise the flop as there are
few - 0 hands that he can 3bet bluff the flop. Although it is unlikely this villain with bluff this kind of board.

Without the Kh I feel as though I can profitably raise the flop more often and get action from his combo draws KQhh KJhh.
However this is such a small part of his range that I figure it is not worth raising the flop. Turn is 9h, and he barrells again
for a similar just over 1/2 pot bet. Again this is unlikely to improve his range unless he binked a FH. Similarly
he also has a very low double barrell %, it is possible he double barrells KK/QQ for value. Again I opt to flat, as
when I raise I never get called by worse. River is as bricky as it gets. 6s

And he barrells again and he bets 2/3 pot. I was really torn here, for such a nitty player to triple barrell here it was really strong.
However given that he only had a 33% W%SD I figured he could well be value owning himself
with AJ/AQ, however there are only 8 combos between them and 3 combos of AK.

So I think that the river call was pretty bad. If he checked to me then a 1/2 pot B/F would be the post omptimal play as I can get crying calls from AJ/AQ/KK/QQ/JJ but thats aboot it.

thoughts?

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